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Here's everything you need to know about Timberwolves vs. Suns Game 4 on Sunday, April 28 — our expert prediction and betting picks for today's game.
Can the Suns avoid the sweep and extend this series, or will the Wolves finish this series off? Let’s break this one down in our Timberwolves vs. Suns preview and pick.
Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds
Sunday, April 28, 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT
| Timberwolves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
| -1.5 -112 |
210.5 -110o / -110u |
-122 |
| Suns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
| +1.5 -108 |
210.5 -110o / -110u |
+104 |
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.
Minnesota Timberwolves
The Wolves continue to dominate the Suns with their physicality, effort and focus — and it is honestly hard to envision any of that changing here. Maybe we see them take a breath now that they are up 3-0, but the Suns have been so bad that it might not matter.
Minnesota has been great at driving the ball all the way into the paint and converting, and there is little reason to expect that to change in Game 4. We’ve seen that the Suns have no one to contain Anthony Edwards, so he should continue to dominate in this one.
I trust the Wolves to continue to beat up on this checked-out Suns team.
Phoenix Suns
The Suns' offense improved in Game 3, as they were able to generate 116 points per 100 possessions. But it didn’t matter because they got dominated on the defensive end, allowing the Timberwolves to post an offensive rating of 132.6.
The Suns generated offensive rebounds on an awful 12% (0th percentile) of their possessions, while the Wolves rebounded 37.2% of their misses (93rd percentile). The effort just isn’t there for the Suns and they are going to be swept if that rebounding disparity persists in Game 4.
Another area of concern continues to be the Suns' rim defense, where they are allowing a league-high 38.5% rim rate to the Wolves. Phoenix must force Minnesota to beat it with jump shots if it wants to improve defensively in this one.
Timberwolves vs. Suns
Betting Pick & Prediction
The Timberwolves should get the job done here, but I will continue to bet the Over in this series since the books are failing to account for how truly bad the Suns' defense is.
The Suns may make a push to extend the series, but I think that should result in a higher pace, which will lead to more scoring. I don’t envision a scenario in which this Suns team shuts down the Wolves, as Minnesota is either going to make shots or rebound its misses, which is usually a recipe for offensive efficiency.
All three games in this series have cleared this total, and I expect that trend to continue here in Game 4.
Pick: Over 210.5
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